tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 2672 at 13:35, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 2672 Southwest Flight history → MCO 13:35 OKC 15:20 23% 5% 17.5% 68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h behind Orlando). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCO 05:30 → ATL 07:03DL 1548 2h 05m Atlanta ATL 09:08 → OKC 10:14DL 2490 5h 44m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → MCO 06:15 → ATL 07:58DL 1494 3h 07m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → OKC 12:12DL 2020 6h 57m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → MCO 06:30 → DFW 08:29AA 2975 2h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:49 → OKC 11:56AA 3731 · flown by Envoy 6h 26m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → MCO 05:30 → DFW 07:26AA 2677 2h 04m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:30 → OKC 10:37AA 3805 · flown by Envoy 6h 07m 98% 86%
SouthwestDetails → MCO 06:15 → DAL 07:50WN 7 2h 55m Dallas DAL 10:45 → OKC 11:45WN 4128 6h 30m 100% 85%
SouthwestDetails → MCO 06:20 → DEN 08:10WN 2628 2h 30m Denver DEN 10:40 → OKC 13:15WN 1652 7h 55m 100% 84%
SouthwestDetails → MCO 07:15 → PHX 08:45WN 2680 2h 15m Phoenix PHX 11:00 → OKC 15:10WN 3309 8h 55m 100% 84%
AmericanDetails → MCO 06:15 → CLT 08:04AA 461 3h 17m Charlotte CLT 11:21 → OKC 13:05AA 2220 7h 50m 100% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MCO 15:45 → DFW 17:47AA 2143 47m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:34 → OKC 19:39AA 3727 · flown by Envoy 4h 54m 68% 44%
AmericanDetails → MCO 18:34 → MIA 19:50AA 2072 1h 22m Miami MIA 21:12 → OKC 23:34AA 3680 · flown by Envoy 6h 00m 71% 43%
SouthwestDetails → MCO 19:35 → DAL 21:20WN 1419 50m Dallas DAL 22:10 → OKC 23:15WN 198 4h 40m 57% 31%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON