Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 2719 at 12:05, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2719 Southwest Flight history →	MDW 12:05	ABQ 14:00	12%	4%	0.5%	81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Chicago). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	MDW 05:15 → DEN 06:50WN 2989	1h 00m Denver	DEN 07:50 → ABQ 09:15WN 3056	5h 00m	97%	92%
Southwest Details →	MDW 05:00 → DAL 07:15WN 1377	3h 30m Dallas	DAL 10:45 → ABQ 11:30WN 1253	7h 30m	100%	88%
Southwest Details →	MDW 05:20 → PHX 06:55WN 2858	3h 20m Phoenix	PHX 10:15 → ABQ 12:30WN 106	8h 10m	100%	87%
Southwest Details →	MDW 06:30 → LAS 08:20WN 1182	2h 25m Las Vegas	LAS 10:45 → ABQ 13:20WN 2175	7h 50m	100%	86%
Southwest Details →	MDW 05:45 → SAN 07:50WN 3103	1h 10m San Diego	SAN 09:00 → ABQ 11:50WN 285	7h 05m	100%	85%
Southwest Details →	MDW 06:50 → DEN 08:20WN 2765	3h 00m Denver	DEN 11:20 → ABQ 12:40WN 170	6h 50m	100%	83%
Southwest Details →	MDW 06:40 → DAL 09:00WN 3796	3h 40m Dallas	DAL 12:40 → ABQ 13:25WN 148	7h 45m	100%	78%
Southwest Details →	MDW 09:40 → AUS 12:15WN 2727	2h 35m Austin	AUS 14:50 → ABQ 15:40WN 4881	7h 00m	100%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	MDW 16:15 → DEN 18:00WN 2769	50m Denver	DEN 18:50 → ABQ 20:15WN 138	5h 00m	72%	51%
Southwest Details →	MDW 19:15 → HOU 21:50WN 1431	55m Houston	HOU 22:45 → ABQ 23:55WN 4703	5h 40m	67%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON