Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2290 at 07:15, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2290 Delta Flight history →	MEM 07:15	SLC 09:33	6%	3%	0.8%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Memphis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	MEM 05:15 → MDW 06:50WN 2916	3h 10m Chicago	MDW 10:00 → SLC 12:25WN 2951	8h 10m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MEM 05:15 → ATL 07:34DL 1666	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 55m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	MEM 12:09 → MSP 14:22DL 3989 · flown by SkyWest	3h 51m Minneapolis	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	8h 58m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:20 → ATL 08:44DL 1624	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 30m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:32 → DTW 09:27DL 2370	2h 53m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	8h 39m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:00 → BOS 10:01DL 5604 · flown by Republic	1h 14m Boston	BOS 11:15 → SLC 14:20DL 464	9h 20m	95%	82%
Delta Details →	MEM 08:27 → ATL 10:51DL 5247 · flown by Endeavor	3h 04m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	8h 24m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	MEM 06:45 → AUS 08:37DL 4088 · flown by SkyWest	3h 43m Austin	AUS 12:20 → SLC 14:09DL 2671	8h 24m	98%	81%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	MEM 12:15 → HOU 13:50WN 2824	50m Houston	HOU 14:40 → SLC 16:50WN 4420	5h 35m	72%	48%
American Details →	MEM 18:30 → DFW 20:22AA 3677 · flown by Envoy	48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:10 → SLC 22:59AA 2993	5h 29m	67%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON