tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 06:55, is the safest bet: 79% chance of reaching Burbank on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 59% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind Miami). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:55 → SLC 09:56DL 2021 49m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 7h 59m 88% 79%
UnitedDetails → MIA 07:37 → DEN 10:00UA 2045 1h 15m Denver DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154 8h 11m 94% 78%
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 3h 18m Atlanta ATL 11:19 → BUR 12:55DL 483 9h 55m 99% 78%
AmericanDetails → MIA 05:25 → DFW 07:40AA 1226 3h 16m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:56 → BUR 12:05AA 1617 9h 40m 99% 76%
AmericanDetails → MIA 10:49 → PHX 12:35AA 3172 2h 08m Phoenix PHX 14:43 → BUR 16:12AA 6415 · flown by SkyWest 8h 23m 95% 74%
UnitedDetails → MIA 08:00 → SFO 11:03UA 1257 2h 47m San Francisco SFO 13:50 → BUR 15:17UA 626 10h 17m 99% 72%
SouthwestDetails → MIA 11:40 → BNA 13:00WN 2922 2h 40m Nashville BNA 15:40 → BUR 17:55WN 461 9h 15m 96% 72%
AmericanDetails → MIA 14:29 → DFW 16:51AA 2762 3h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:46 → BUR 21:58AA 2597 10h 29m 95% 58%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → MIA 16:20 → DEN 18:40WN 2926 1h 45m Denver DEN 20:25 → BUR 21:55WN 1497 8h 35m 72% 48%
UnitedDetails → MIA 15:44 → DEN 18:23UA 2852 50m Denver DEN 19:13 → BUR 20:43UA 2411 7h 59m 59% 43%
AmericanDetails → MIA 17:30 → DFW 19:56AA 3260 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:46 → BUR 21:58AA 2597 7h 28m 61% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON