Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 1374 at 17:00, with a 42% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1374 Southwest Flight history →	MIA 17:00	DAL 19:00	42%	12%	0.8%	54%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Miami). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	MIA 05:10 → HOU 06:45WN 2927	2h 45m Houston	HOU 09:30 → DAL 10:35WN 14	6h 25m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → DAL 11:24DL 1115	6h 24m	98%	85%
Southwest Details →	MIA 05:25 → MCO 06:30WN 4086	1h 20m Orlando	MCO 07:50 → DAL 09:25WN 738	5h 00m	93%	84%
Delta Details →	MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512	7h 43m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	MIA 10:40 → ATL 12:48DL 2836	3h 56m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780	8h 14m	99%	75%
Southwest Details →	MIA 11:40 → BNA 13:00WN 2922	2h 25m Nashville	BNA 15:25 → DAL 17:20WN 489	6h 40m	96%	73%
Delta Details →	MIA 16:00 → ATL 18:25DL 1579	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → DAL 22:25DL 1104	7h 25m	95%	73%
Southwest Details →	MIA 17:00 → AUS 19:05WN 336	2h 50m Austin	AUS 21:55 → DAL 23:05WN 280	7h 05m	98%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MIA 18:00 → ATL 20:14DL 1386	1h 01m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → DAL 22:25DL 1104	5h 25m	71%	54%
Southwest Details →	MIA 16:20 → DEN 18:40WN 2926	1h 50m Denver	DEN 20:30 → DAL 23:30WN 1523	8h 10m	75%	51%
Southwest Details →	MIA 17:00 → AUS 19:05WN 336	1h 05m Austin	AUS 20:10 → DAL 21:15WN 1255	5h 15m	58%	40%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON