Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 22–24% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 3754 American flown by Envoy Flight history →	MIA 20:40	GSO 22:57	22%	7%	1.3%	80%
AA 3931 American flown by Envoy Flight history →	MIA 16:49	GSO 19:07	24%	8%	1.7%	59%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greensboro on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → GSO 11:34DL 3052	5h 34m	98%	88%
American Details →	MIA 06:40 → ORD 09:08AA 581	2h 07m Chicago	ORD 11:15 → GSO 14:19AA 3744 · flown by Envoy	7h 39m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	MIA 06:25 → LGA 09:24DL 2387	2h 18m New York	LGA 11:42 → GSO 13:42DL 5862 · flown by Republic	7h 17m	98%	87%
American Details →	MIA 06:21 → CLT 08:35AA 2187	2h 37m Charlotte	CLT 11:12 → GSO 12:17AA 5796 · flown by Piedmont	5h 56m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	MIA 07:10 → ATL 09:10DL 1211	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 12:49 → GSO 14:04DL 3060	6h 54m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 14:15 → GSO 15:30DL 2539	7h 10m	99%	86%
American Details →	MIA 08:02 → DCA 10:38AA 1299	2h 57m Washington	DCA 13:35 → GSO 14:57AA 4514 · flown by Republic	6h 55m	100%	84%
American Details →	MIA 09:56 → LGA 12:59AA 3256	2h 41m New York	LGA 15:40 → GSO 17:47AA 4421 · flown by Republic	7h 51m	100%	81%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MIA 19:25 → ATL 21:42DL 1323	58m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → GSO 23:59DL 3005	4h 34m	71%	59%
American Details →	MIA 16:25 → LGA 19:29AA 952	1h 30m New York	LGA 20:59 → GSO 22:53AA 4577 · flown by Republic	6h 28m	72%	56%
American Details →	MIA 18:25 → PHL 21:20AA 1349	50m Philadelphia	PHL 22:10 → GSO 23:58AA 6012 · flown by Piedmont	5h 33m	66%	53%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON