Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 2927 at 05:10, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2927 Southwest Flight history →	MIA 05:10	HOU 06:45	9%	3%	1.8%	81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Miami). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249	3h 04m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → HOU 12:10DL 1195	7h 10m	99%	84%
Southwest Details →	MIA 06:20 → BWI 08:55WN 974	1h 05m Baltimore	BWI 10:00 → HOU 12:15WN 956	6h 55m	94%	80%
American Details →	MIA 05:25 → DFW 07:40AA 1226	3h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:51 → HOU 12:16AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	7h 51m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	MIA 10:40 → ATL 12:48DL 2836	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 15:12 → HOU 16:22DL 2381	6h 42m	97%	77%
American Details →	MIA 09:00 → DFW 11:12AA 1227	3h 09m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:21 → HOU 15:44AA 5002 · flown by SkyWest	7h 44m	98%	75%
Southwest Details →	MIA 05:25 → MCO 06:30WN 4086	1h 35m Orlando	MCO 08:05 → HOU 09:35WN 2637	5h 10m	93%	73%
American Details →	MIA 11:00 → DFW 13:15AA 3055	3h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:56 → HOU 18:19AA 6385 · flown by SkyWest	8h 19m	99%	73%
American Details →	MIA 16:39 → DFW 19:04AA 2823	3h 34m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:38 → HOU 23:56AA 5465 · flown by PSA	8h 17m	98%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	MIA 16:20 → DEN 18:40WN 2926	1h 45m Denver	DEN 20:25 → HOU 23:55WN 2026	8h 35m	72%	51%
Southwest Details →	MIA 11:40 → BNA 13:00WN 2922	55m Nashville	BNA 13:55 → HOU 15:55WN 533	5h 15m	64%	48%
American Details →	MIA 19:30 → DFW 21:45AA 3104	53m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:38 → HOU 23:56AA 5465 · flown by PSA	5h 26m	60%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON