tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18–23% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 3920 American flown by Envoy Flight history → MIA 22:21 SAV 23:59 18% 6% 1.3% 75%
AA 3782 American flown by Envoy Flight history → MIA 16:13 SAV 17:52 23% 10% 1.5% 58%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → MIA 06:21 → CLT 08:35AA 2187 2h 35m Charlotte CLT 11:10 → SAV 12:35AA 5890 · flown by Piedmont 6h 14m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → MIA 07:10 → ATL 09:10DL 1211 2h 57m Atlanta ATL 12:07 → SAV 13:12DL 940 6h 02m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → MIA 07:07 → EWR 10:11UA 1864 1h 48m Newark EWR 11:59 → SAV 14:14UA 570 7h 07m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → MIA 06:00 → ATL 08:01DL 1249 1h 22m Atlanta ATL 09:23 → SAV 10:27DL 3054 4h 27m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → MIA 08:20 → ATL 10:20DL 1261 3h 12m Atlanta ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067 6h 18m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → MIA 10:40 → ATL 12:48DL 2836 2h 15m Atlanta ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014 5h 34m 97% 83%
SouthwestDetails → MIA 05:10 → HOU 06:45WN 2927 2h 40m Houston HOU 09:25 → SAV 12:40WN 2076 7h 30m 97% 83%
AmericanDetails → MIA 07:57 → CLT 10:10AA 3085 3h 00m Charlotte CLT 13:10 → SAV 14:27AA 5383 · flown by PSA 6h 30m 99% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → MIA 11:40 → BNA 13:00WN 2922 50m Nashville BNA 13:50 → SAV 16:15WN 777 4h 35m 59% 48%
AmericanDetails → MIA 14:22 → LGA 17:29AA 716 52m New York LGA 18:21 → SAV 20:54AA 4779 · flown by Republic 6h 32m 54% 39%
AmericanDetails → MIA 16:39 → DFW 19:04AA 2823 51m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:55 → SAV 23:24AA 2327 6h 45m 53% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON