Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 5404 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	MKE 07:00	JFK 10:22	16%	10%	7.3%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	MKE 06:08 → ORD 07:30AA 4914 · flown by SkyWest	3h 30m Chicago	ORD 11:00 → JFK 14:39AA 4350 · flown by Republic	7h 31m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	MKE 05:45 → ATL 08:46DL 1221	2h 19m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → JFK 13:20DL 2380	6h 35m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	MKE 08:00 → MSP 09:26DL 4458 · flown by SkyWest	3h 28m Minneapolis	MSP 12:54 → JFK 17:00DL 2661	8h 00m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → JFK 16:29DL 1575	8h 39m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	MKE 10:11 → ATL 13:14DL 2999	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 16:55 → JFK 19:48DL 2378	8h 37m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	MKE 12:58 → ATL 16:07DL 1151	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 18:45 → JFK 21:29DL 2398	7h 31m	99%	80%
American Details →	MKE 07:01 → CLT 10:07AA 2866	1h 38m Charlotte	CLT 11:45 → JFK 13:47AA 2812	5h 46m	93%	79%
American Details →	MKE 08:43 → ORD 10:05AA 6263 · flown by SkyWest	2h 45m Chicago	ORD 12:50 → JFK 16:28AA 4371 · flown by Republic	6h 45m	94%	78%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON