Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 1702 at 11:40, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1702 Southwest Flight history →	MKE 11:40	MCI 13:10	9%	2%	0.6%	81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	MKE 05:40 → MDW 06:30WN 3178	1h 30m Chicago	MDW 08:00 → MCI 09:30WN 2808	3h 50m	100%	93%
Southwest Details →	MKE 05:15 → DEN 06:50WN 2942	1h 50m Denver	DEN 08:40 → MCI 11:15WN 1584	6h 00m	100%	91%
Southwest Details →	MKE 07:40 → BNA 09:10WN 4598	3h 20m Nashville	BNA 12:30 → MCI 14:10WN 5063	6h 30m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MKE 06:30 → MSP 07:55DL 4460 · flown by SkyWest	2h 25m Minneapolis	MSP 10:20 → MCI 11:46DL 1608	5h 16m	98%	86%
United Details →	MKE 05:00 → ORD 05:59UA 5799 · flown by SkyWest	2h 41m Chicago	ORD 08:40 → MCI 10:29UA 1484	5h 29m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	MKE 05:45 → ATL 08:46DL 1221	1h 19m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → MCI 11:16DL 2908	5h 31m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	MKE 09:39 → MSP 10:57DL 4466 · flown by SkyWest	2h 48m Minneapolis	MSP 13:45 → MCI 15:14DL 1613	5h 35m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 13:24 → MCI 14:29DL 1443	7h 39m	99%	84%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MKE 16:49 → DTW 19:01DL 1343	48m Detroit	DTW 19:49 → MCI 20:49DL 1321	4h 00m	74%	59%
United Details →	MKE 19:23 → ORD 20:29UA 5653 · flown by SkyWest	56m Chicago	ORD 21:25 → MCI 23:17UA 4723 · flown by SkyWest	3h 54m	60%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON