Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Southwest via Denver, leaving 05:15, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2716 Delta Flight history →	MKE 07:00	SLC 09:25	6%	2%	0.6%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Milwaukee). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	MKE 05:15 → DEN 06:50WN 2942	55m Denver	DEN 07:45 → SLC 09:20WN 452	5h 05m	97%	92%
Delta Details →	MKE 08:00 → MSP 09:26DL 4458 · flown by SkyWest	3h 03m Minneapolis	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	7h 19m	98%	90%
Southwest Details →	MKE 05:40 → MDW 06:30WN 3178	3h 30m Chicago	MDW 10:00 → SLC 12:25WN 2951	7h 45m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MKE 09:39 → MSP 10:57DL 4466 · flown by SkyWest	3h 28m Minneapolis	MSP 14:25 → SLC 16:16DL 2658	7h 37m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	MKE 05:45 → ATL 08:46DL 1221	1h 24m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	7h 25m	97%	86%
United Details →	MKE 05:00 → ORD 05:59UA 5799 · flown by SkyWest	2h 56m Chicago	ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972	7h 39m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	MKE 06:50 → ATL 09:57DL 1236	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 00m	98%	84%
United Details →	MKE 08:16 → DEN 10:05UA 5558 · flown by SkyWest	1h 35m Denver	DEN 11:40 → SLC 13:13UA 1963	5h 57m	99%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON