Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 10:30, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	MSP 10:30	CHS 14:15	11%	2%	1.0%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	MSP 05:00 → MDW 06:30WN 2520	1h 35m Chicago	MDW 08:05 → CHS 11:25WN 356	5h 25m	100%	91%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	2h 51m Chicago	ORD 10:35 → CHS 14:06UA 3646 · flown by Republic	7h 06m	100%	88%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	2h 57m Denver	DEN 09:50 → CHS 15:14UA 1003	8h 29m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	5h 40m	99%	87%
Southwest Details →	MSP 05:25 → BWI 08:50WN 3658	2h 45m Baltimore	BWI 11:35 → CHS 13:15WN 899	6h 50m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:04 → DTW 08:47DL 1461	1h 18m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → CHS 12:20DL 5431 · flown by Endeavor	5h 16m	98%	85%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → EWR 09:40UA 1246	2h 30m Newark	EWR 12:10 → CHS 14:16UA 1760	7h 16m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	1h 59m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179	5h 42m	99%	84%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	MSP 12:50 → DCA 16:27AA 3796 · flown by Envoy	55m Washington	DCA 17:22 → CHS 19:11AA 1654	5h 21m	74%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON