Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 4680 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	MSP 12:46	HPN 16:30	20%	11%	3.2%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (White Plains is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	MSP 14:02 → ORD 15:43AA 3719 · flown by Envoy	2h 46m Chicago	ORD 18:29 → HPN 21:57AA 3499 · flown by Envoy	6h 55m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	51m Atlanta	ATL 09:45 → HPN 12:08DL 2044	5h 48m	95%	84%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	8h 40m	99%	83%
American Details →	MSP 10:31 → ORD 12:16AA 4162 · flown by Envoy	1h 39m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → HPN 17:15AA 4112 · flown by Envoy	5h 44m	95%	80%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	1h 06m Charlotte	CLT 11:06 → HPN 13:13AA 5180 · flown by PSA	5h 54m	94%	78%
American Details →	MSP 16:03 → ORD 17:59AA 4727 · flown by Republic	1h 40m Chicago	ORD 19:39 → HPN 22:59AA 3752 · flown by Envoy	5h 56m	93%	78%
American Details →	MSP 10:56 → CLT 14:36AA 2154	3h 44m Charlotte	CLT 18:20 → HPN 20:29AA 5016 · flown by PSA	8h 33m	100%	76%
American Details →	MSP 06:30 → DCA 10:11AA 5312 · flown by PSA	2h 48m Washington	DCA 12:59 → HPN 14:30AA 5254 · flown by PSA	7h 00m	96%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON