Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2327 at 12:56, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2327 Delta Flight history →	MSP 12:56	MYR 16:40	13%	4%	0.8%	82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	MSP 05:00 → MDW 06:30WN 2520	1h 40m Chicago	MDW 08:10 → MYR 11:20WN 1695	5h 20m	100%	91%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	1h 20m Charlotte	CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:36AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont	5h 17m	95%	88%
Southwest Details →	MSP 07:05 → BNA 09:10WN 1528	1h 50m Nashville	BNA 11:00 → MYR 13:25WN 2412	5h 20m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	2h 54m Atlanta	ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182	6h 40m	99%	84%
United Details →	MSP 06:00 → ORD 07:44UA 307	3h 16m Chicago	ORD 11:00 → MYR 14:19UA 1332	7h 19m	100%	83%
American Details →	MSP 06:10 → ORD 08:05AA 4444 · flown by Republic	55m Chicago	ORD 09:00 → MYR 12:22AA 3733 · flown by Envoy	5h 12m	95%	82%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	2h 18m Atlanta	ATL 14:12 → MYR 15:27DL 2467	6h 01m	99%	79%
American Details →	MSP 05:45 → PHL 09:27AA 5488 · flown by PSA	1h 26m Philadelphia	PHL 10:53 → MYR 13:02AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont	6h 17m	95%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	MSP 16:00 → BNA 18:00WN 2962	50m Nashville	BNA 18:50 → MYR 21:25WN 603	4h 25m	70%	53%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON