Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 762 at 18:25, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 762 Delta Flight history →	MSP 18:25	PSC 19:45	22%	5%	0.5%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pasco on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pasco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628	2h 25m Salt Lake City	SLC 12:24 → PSC 13:09DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest	6h 59m	100%	90%
Alaska Details →	MSP 16:57 → SEA 18:52AS 510	3h 52m Seattle	SEA 22:44 → PSC 23:43AS 2403 · flown by Horizon	8h 46m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651	1h 33m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:52 → PSC 16:38DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest	6h 09m	96%	86%
American Details →	MSP 07:41 → PHX 09:00AA 3143	2h 59m Phoenix	PHX 11:59 → PSC 14:50AA 6220 · flown by SkyWest	9h 09m	97%	83%
Alaska Details →	MSP 06:03 → SEA 07:58AS 387	54m Seattle	SEA 08:52 → PSC 09:53AS 2195 · flown by Horizon	5h 50m	91%	82%
Delta Details →	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	3h 08m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → PSC 23:54DL 1712	7h 41m	99%	80%
Alaska Details →	MSP 18:17 → PDX 20:07AS 1434	1h 43m Portland	PDX 21:50 → PSC 22:44AS 3066 · flown by SkyWest	6h 27m	96%	78%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:55 → SEA 08:45DL 1418	1h 50m Seattle	SEA 10:35 → PSC 11:43DL 3992 · flown by SkyWest	6h 48m	100%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	MSP 19:59 → SEA 21:57AS 532	47m Seattle	SEA 22:44 → PSC 23:43AS 2403 · flown by Horizon	5h 44m	53%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON