Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2097 at 20:00, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2097 Delta Flight history →	MSP 20:00	SYR 23:13	18%	6%	0.6%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Syracuse is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 06:04 → DTW 08:47DL 1461	2h 44m Detroit	DTW 11:31 → SYR 13:01DL 3533 · flown by SkyWest	5h 57m	100%	87%
United Details →	MSP 05:45 → DEN 06:53UA 2041	2h 52m Denver	DEN 09:45 → SYR 15:12UA 1909	8h 27m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	3h 43m Atlanta	ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991	8h 28m	99%	85%
American Details →	MSP 16:03 → ORD 17:59AA 4727 · flown by Republic	2h 55m Chicago	ORD 20:54 → SYR 23:55AA 3817 · flown by Envoy	6h 52m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 09:00 → DTW 11:42DL 1433	3h 22m Detroit	DTW 15:04 → SYR 16:35DL 3565 · flown by SkyWest	6h 35m	99%	83%
American Details →	MSP 05:45 → PHL 09:27AA 5488 · flown by PSA	3h 45m Philadelphia	PHL 13:12 → SYR 14:34AA 5924 · flown by Piedmont	7h 49m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	3h 49m Atlanta	ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690	8h 33m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	MSP 06:55 → JFK 10:39DL 2969	3h 55m New York	JFK 14:34 → SYR 16:11DL 5328 · flown by Endeavor	8h 16m	100%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MSP 18:10 → JFK 22:09DL 5244 · flown by Endeavor	47m New York	JFK 22:56 → SYR 00:43 +1DL 5371 · flown by Endeavor	5h 33m	44%	28%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON