Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2462 at 10:35, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2462 Delta Flight history →	MSP 10:35	VPS 13:13	9%	2%	0.6%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Valparaiso on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MSP 05:20 → ATL 08:54DL 1062	1h 21m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → VPS 10:29DL 2048	5h 09m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	MSP 07:00 → ATL 10:32DL 1039	1h 48m Atlanta	ATL 12:20 → VPS 12:29DL 3092	5h 29m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	MSP 08:26 → ATL 11:54DL 1052	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 13:50 → VPS 14:00DL 2832	5h 34m	99%	87%
Southwest Details →	MSP 05:25 → BWI 08:50WN 3658	3h 10m Baltimore	BWI 12:00 → VPS 13:20WN 246	7h 55m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	MSP 15:58 → ATL 19:41DL 1028	3h 34m Atlanta	ATL 23:15 → VPS 23:29DL 3097	7h 31m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 18:28 → VPS 18:42DL 2803	5h 57m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	2h 01m Atlanta	ATL 16:05 → VPS 16:21DL 3083	5h 49m	98%	83%
American Details →	MSP 06:19 → CLT 10:00AA 894	1h 21m Charlotte	CLT 11:21 → VPS 12:02AA 2671	5h 43m	95%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	MSP 18:37 → ATL 22:28DL 1026	47m Atlanta	ATL 23:15 → VPS 23:29DL 3097	4h 52m	73%	63%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON