Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: WN 2997 at 10:35 is the safest bet, 7% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 19%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 2997 Southwest Flight history →	MYR 10:35	BNA 11:10	7%	2%	0.8%	82%
WN 3025 Southwest Flight history →	MYR 21:10	BNA 21:45	19%	6%	0.7%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	2h 41m Atlanta	ATL 10:00 → BNA 10:10DL 1155	5h 10m	98%	89%
Southwest Details →	MYR 07:25 → MDW 08:30WN 4068	2h 50m Chicago	MDW 11:20 → BNA 12:45WN 2733	6h 20m	100%	86%
American Details →	MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296	3h 22m Charlotte	CLT 11:20 → BNA 12:02AA 5082 · flown by PSA	6h 11m	99%	83%
Southwest Details →	MYR 07:50 → BWI 09:10WN 3026	3h 55m Baltimore	BWI 13:05 → BNA 14:00WN 3245	7h 10m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142	4h 44m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145	2h 30m Detroit	DTW 16:01 → BNA 16:40DL 2316	6h 06m	98%	79%
United Details →	MYR 10:00 → EWR 11:59UA 1365	1h 09m Newark	EWR 13:08 → BNA 14:39UA 1884	5h 39m	94%	79%
American Details →	MYR 09:06 → CLT 10:25AA 5555 · flown by PSA	2h 37m Charlotte	CLT 13:02 → BNA 13:30AA 3047	5h 24m	97%	79%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	MYR 18:45 → PHL 20:34AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont	56m Philadelphia	PHL 21:30 → BNA 22:46AA 2277	5h 01m	74%	52%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON