Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, G4 399 at 21:30, with a 30% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


G4 399 Allegiant Flight history →	MYR 21:30	CVG 23:07	30%	11%	0.9%	72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160	5h 25m	98%	89%
United Details →	MYR 10:00 → EWR 11:59UA 1365	1h 22m Newark	EWR 13:21 → CVG 15:33UA 3473 · flown by Republic	5h 33m	96%	82%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	2h 11m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008	4h 59m	98%	82%
American Details →	MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296	3h 37m Charlotte	CLT 11:35 → CVG 13:13AA 5556 · flown by PSA	6h 22m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	MYR 20:02 → ATL 21:34DL 1093	1h 37m Atlanta	ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395	4h 37m	94%	78%
Southwest Details →	MYR 12:00 → BWI 13:30WN 1695	1h 50m Baltimore	BWI 15:20 → CVG 16:55WN 760	4h 55m	100%	77%
Delta Details →	MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 17:59 → CVG 19:25DL 3119	5h 34m	95%	77%
American Details →	MYR 06:33 → DFW 08:45AA 4024 · flown by Envoy	1h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:45 → CVG 13:05AA 1710	6h 32m	94%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON