tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 11:42, is the safest bet: 69% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 3028 Southwest Flight history → MYR 05:15 DEN 07:00 4% 2% 0.6% 92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → MYR 07:25 → MDW 08:30WN 4068 1h 25m Chicago MDW 09:55 → DEN 11:30WN 2654 6h 05m 96% 85%
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → MYR 10:34 → IAD 12:11UA 4324 · flown by CommuteAir 3h 45m Dulles IAD 15:56 → DEN 18:03UA 395 9h 29m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → MYR 17:30 → MSP 19:29DL 2327 2h 46m Minneapolis MSP 22:15 → DEN 23:27DL 1705 7h 57m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296 3h 32m Charlotte CLT 11:30 → DEN 12:56AA 1758 8h 05m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → MYR 15:15 → ORD 16:49UA 2467 3h 11m Chicago ORD 20:00 → DEN 22:01UA 767 8h 46m 96% 81%
UnitedDetails → MYR 10:00 → EWR 11:59UA 1365 1h 31m Newark EWR 13:30 → DEN 15:53UA 577 7h 53m 96% 80%
SouthwestDetails → MYR 07:50 → BWI 09:10WN 3026 3h 40m Baltimore BWI 12:50 → DEN 14:35WN 937 8h 45m 100% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON