Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 13:51, is the safest bet: 65% chance of reaching Dallas-Fort Worth on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 4024 American flown by Envoy Flight history →	MYR 06:33	DFW 08:45	6%	3%	0.9%	90%
AA 2213 American Flight history →	MYR 16:43	DFW 18:50	24%	9%	1.6%	54%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961	6h 12m	98%	87%
American Details →	MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296	3h 32m Charlotte	CLT 11:30 → DFW 13:16AA 1285	7h 25m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145	2h 19m Detroit	DTW 15:50 → DFW 17:36DL 1543	7h 02m	98%	78%
American Details →	MYR 09:06 → CLT 10:25AA 5555 · flown by PSA	2h 40m Charlotte	CLT 13:05 → DFW 14:57AA 2407	6h 51m	97%	78%
American Details →	MYR 11:19 → PHL 13:08AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont	3h 14m Philadelphia	PHL 16:22 → DFW 19:09AA 2356	8h 50m	99%	78%
United Details →	MYR 10:00 → EWR 11:59UA 1365	1h 01m Newark	EWR 13:00 → DFW 15:50UA 2330	6h 50m	92%	78%
United Details →	MYR 15:15 → ORD 16:49UA 2467	3h 01m Chicago	ORD 19:50 → DFW 22:36UA 1673	8h 21m	96%	77%
American Details →	MYR 11:52 → DCA 13:34AA 5300 · flown by PSA	3h 37m Washington	DCA 17:11 → DFW 19:41AA 1414	8h 49m	96%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON