tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2327 at 17:30, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2327 Delta Flight history → MYR 17:30 MSP 19:29 14% 6% 0.7% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → MYR 05:15 → DEN 07:00WN 3028 50m Denver DEN 07:50 → MSP 10:55WN 3420 6h 40m 96% 89%
SouthwestDetails → MYR 07:25 → MDW 08:30WN 4068 1h 45m Chicago MDW 10:15 → MSP 11:45WN 2869 5h 20m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:31DL 2090 6h 31m 98% 87%
AmericanDetails → MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296 3h 17m Charlotte CLT 11:15 → MSP 12:54AA 2153 7h 03m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → MYR 10:00 → EWR 11:59UA 1365 1h 56m Newark EWR 13:55 → MSP 15:55UA 1068 6h 55m 96% 81%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 1h 27m Atlanta ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825 5h 24m 96% 79%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 2h 49m Detroit DTW 16:20 → MSP 17:12DL 2203 6h 38m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → MYR 15:15 → ORD 16:49UA 2467 3h 08m Chicago ORD 19:57 → MSP 21:41UA 2005 7h 26m 96% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → MYR 18:50 → EWR 20:59UA 3714 · flown by Republic 56m Newark EWR 21:55 → MSP 23:59UA 1331 6h 09m 73% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON