Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 68 nonstops
Fri, Oct 9: UA 530 at 06:00 is the safest bet, 6% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 14–35%.
Every nonstop on Fri, Oct 9
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort. Dimmed: airlines we don’t forecast yet, shown with their 12-month record if they usually fly that weekday.
| UA 530 United Flight history → | EWR 06:00 | ORD 07:42 | 6% | 2% | 0.9% | 92% |
| UA 2389 United Flight history → | LGA 06:10 | ORD 07:49 | 6% | 2% | 1.1% | 89% |
| AA 462 American Flight history → | LGA 06:40 | ORD 08:26 | 6% | 3% | 1.7% | 93% |
| DL 2251 Delta Flight history → | LGA 06:00 | ORD 07:32 | 6% | 4% | 1.6% | 93% |
| WN 2464 Southwest Flight history → | LGA 06:00 | MDW 07:20 | 7% | 2% | 1.0% | 88% |
| AA 3267 American Flight history → | EWR 06:56 | ORD 08:44 | 7% | 3% | 1.6% | 88% |
| AA 3185 American Flight history → | EWR 05:30 | ORD 07:15 | 7% | 3% | 2.2% | 88% |
| AA 4356 American flown by Republic Flight history → | JFK 07:56 | ORD 09:59 | 7% | 3% | 1.0% | 85% |
| AA 4365 American flown by Republic Flight history → | JFK 10:11 | ORD 12:05 | 9% | 3% | 1.2% | 89% |
| WN 2465 Southwest Flight history → | LGA 07:25 | MDW 08:50 | 10% | 3% | 1.0% | 76% |
| UA 2488 United Flight history → | EWR 07:59 | ORD 09:43 | 10% | 4% | 0.9% | 88% |
| UA 2800 United Flight history → | EWR 07:15 | ORD 09:00 | 11% | 4% | 1.1% | 88% |
| AA 589 American Flight history → | LGA 08:50 | ORD 10:37 | 11% | 4% | 1.5% | 76% |
| AA 392 American Flight history → | LGA 07:23 | ORD 09:09 | 11% | 3% | 1.7% | 87% |
| UA 2290 United Flight history → | EWR 09:20 | ORD 11:04 | 11% | 4% | 0.9% | 83% |
| UA 1057 United Flight history → | LGA 09:10 | ORD 10:56 | 11% | 3% | 1.1% | 84% |
| UA 1525 United Flight history → | EWR 10:24 | ORD 12:06 | 11% | 4% | 0.9% | 79% |
| UA 2822 United Flight history → | LGA 07:21 | ORD 09:00 | 12% | 3% | 1.2% | 83% |
| AA 3100 American Flight history → | LGA 09:44 | ORD 11:30 | 12% | 5% | 1.5% | 79% |
| B6 905 JetBlue Flight history → | JFK 07:09 | ORD 08:52 | 12% | 4% | 1.1% | 90% |
| UA 1875 United Flight history → | EWR 11:25 | ORD 13:08 | 12% | 5% | 0.9% | 79% |
| DL 2985 Delta Flight history → | LGA 08:45 | ORD 10:23 | 12% | 4% | 1.1% | 80% |
| UA 1310 United Flight history → | LGA 10:15 | ORD 11:57 | 13% | 4% | 1.0% | 80% |
| AA 2079 American Flight history → | LGA 12:14 | ORD 13:59 | 13% | 6% | 1.4% | 76% |
| UA 623 United Flight history → | LGA 08:05 | ORD 09:44 | 13% | 3% | 0.9% | 81% |
| DL 2917 Delta Flight history → | LGA 07:30 | ORD 09:06 | 13% | 5% | 1.1% | 81% |
| AA 3170 American Flight history → | EWR 10:40 | ORD 12:25 | 14% | 5% | 1.6% | 84% |
| AA 3321 American Flight history → | JFK 13:59 | ORD 15:53 | 14% | 5% | 1.9% | 79% |
| DL 5640 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | JFK 19:35 | ORD 21:52 | 14% | 7% | 1.4% | 65% |
| UA 2053 United Flight history → | EWR 13:10 | ORD 14:53 | 16% | 6% | 0.8% | 77% |
| UA 2635 United Flight history → | LGA 11:23 | ORD 13:00 | 16% | 5% | 0.9% | 74% |
| AA 1705 American Flight history → | LGA 14:11 | ORD 16:05 | 17% | 8% | 1.6% | 66% |
| AA 2057 American Flight history → | LGA 21:29 | ORD 23:30 | 18% | 8% | 1.8% | 55% |
| DL 2240 Delta Flight history → | LGA 11:30 | ORD 13:05 | 18% | 6% | 1.2% | 74% |
| WN 4573 Southwest Flight history → | LGA 10:55 | MDW 12:15 | 19% | 4% | 1.1% | 85% |
| UA 714 United Flight history → | LGA 13:25 | ORD 15:02 | 19% | 6% | 0.9% | 71% |
| UA 1504 United Flight history → | LGA 15:25 | ORD 17:20 | 19% | 8% | 1.1% | 61% |
| UA 2199 United Flight history → | LGA 14:28 | ORD 16:14 | 20% | 7% | 1.0% | 74% |
| UA 1830 United Flight history → | LGA 21:25 | ORD 22:58 | 22% | 9% | 1.3% | 56% |
| AA 2250 American Flight history → | EWR 14:20 | ORD 16:15 | 22% | 10% | 1.7% | 57% |
| DL 2226 Delta Flight history → | LGA 14:45 | ORD 16:30 | 22% | 8% | 1.1% | 64% |
| WN 4996 Southwest Flight history → | LGA 13:25 | MDW 14:50 | 23% | 6% | 1.0% | 48% |
| UA 2788 United Flight history → | EWR 14:45 | ORD 16:28 | 23% | 9% | 0.8% | 50% |
| UA 2768 United Flight history → | LGA 20:25 | ORD 22:12 | 23% | 9% | 1.0% | 47% |
| WN 1095 Southwest Flight history → | LGA 15:25 | MDW 17:05 | 24% | 8% | 1.1% | 59% |
| DL 2806 Delta Flight history → | LGA 20:45 | ORD 22:36 | 24% | 11% | 1.2% | 59% |
| AA 3318 American Flight history → | LGA 19:25 | ORD 21:35 | 24% | 10% | 1.6% | 59% |
| DL 2503 Delta Flight history → | LGA 17:00 | ORD 19:10 | 25% | 11% | 1.1% | 62% |
| AA 396 American Flight history → | LGA 16:00 | ORD 18:08 | 25% | 9% | 1.6% | 64% |
| DL 1390 Delta Flight history → | LGA 16:00 | ORD 18:03 | 25% | 10% | 1.1% | 66% |
| AA 752 American Flight history → | LGA 17:29 | ORD 19:43 | 25% | 11% | 1.6% | 54% |
| UA 1156 United Flight history → | LGA 16:25 | ORD 18:17 | 26% | 10% | 1.1% | 53% |
| UA 2446 United Flight history → | LGA 19:25 | ORD 21:12 | 26% | 9% | 1.2% | 52% |
| UA 602 United Flight history → | LGA 17:25 | ORD 19:12 | 28% | 10% | 0.9% | 42% |
| DL 2513 Delta Flight history → | LGA 18:50 | ORD 20:56 | 28% | 11% | 1.3% | 57% |
| B6 405 JetBlue Flight history → | JFK 14:29 | ORD 16:16 | 29% | 11% | 1.4% | 65% |
| WN 4746 Southwest Flight history → | LGA 17:30 | MDW 19:20 | 30% | 13% | 1.1% | 54% |
| UA 661 United Flight history → | EWR 16:45 | ORD 18:34 | 31% | 9% | 0.9% | 50% |
| UA 1098 United Flight history → | LGA 18:25 | ORD 20:12 | 31% | 10% | 1.1% | 39% |
| AA 1936 American Flight history → | EWR 17:21 | ORD 19:23 | 31% | 12% | 1.7% | 70% |
| UA 546 United Flight history → | EWR 20:19 | ORD 22:06 | 31% | 9% | 1.0% | 69% |
| UA 1998 United Flight history → | EWR 19:12 | ORD 21:00 | 31% | 9% | 1.0% | 52% |
| WN 2469 Southwest Flight history → | LGA 21:30 | MDW 23:00 | 33% | 13% | 1.3% | 33% |
| UA 254 United Flight history → | EWR 18:15 | ORD 20:10 | 35% | 10% | 0.9% | 44% |
| B6 805 JetBlue Flight history → | JFK 20:00 | ORD 21:58 | 35% | 13% | 1.3% | 35% |
| DL 5119 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | JFK 10:30 | ORD 12:20 | 14% | 3% | 7.0% | 86% |
| DL 4725 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | JFK 07:30 | ORD 09:25 | 26% | 14% | 12.5% | 74% |
| DL 4783 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | JFK 15:00 | ORD 17:11 | 26% | 14% | 23.6% | 74% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON