Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 237 at 16:15, with a 28% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 237 Southwest Flight history →	OAK 16:15	ABQ 19:30	28%	8%	0.6%	67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of Oakland). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OAK 06:00 → SLC 08:55DL 4061 · flown by SkyWest	1h 06m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:01 → ABQ 11:45DL 4084 · flown by SkyWest	4h 45m	97%	92%
Southwest Details →	OAK 05:00 → LAS 06:30WN 2325	1h 05m Las Vegas	LAS 07:35 → ABQ 10:10WN 3318	4h 10m	97%	91%
Southwest Details →	OAK 07:05 → BUR 08:20WN 3035	2h 00m Burbank	BUR 10:20 → ABQ 13:10WN 419	5h 05m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	OAK 12:30 → SLC 15:22DL 4134 · flown by SkyWest	2h 03m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest	5h 42m	98%	89%
Southwest Details →	OAK 07:35 → LAS 09:05WN 4348	1h 40m Las Vegas	LAS 10:45 → ABQ 13:20WN 2175	4h 45m	100%	86%
Southwest Details →	OAK 05:05 → PHX 07:00WN 3066	3h 15m Phoenix	PHX 10:15 → ABQ 12:30WN 106	6h 25m	97%	85%
Southwest Details →	OAK 06:20 → SAN 07:55WN 3073	1h 05m San Diego	SAN 09:00 → ABQ 11:50WN 285	4h 30m	100%	85%
Southwest Details →	OAK 05:45 → DEN 09:15WN 3041	2h 05m Denver	DEN 11:20 → ABQ 12:40WN 170	5h 55m	100%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	OAK 16:45 → LAS 18:20WN 4539	1h 05m Las Vegas	LAS 19:25 → ABQ 21:55WN 4074	4h 10m	70%	42%
Southwest Details →	OAK 19:45 → LAX 21:10WN 2396	50m Los Angeles	LAX 22:00 → ABQ 00:55 +1WN 1916	4h 10m	50%	35%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON