tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4029 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → OKC 08:26 SLC 10:07 5% 4% 0.6% 93%
DL 3882 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → OKC 18:00 SLC 19:38 9% 5% 0.6% 92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest 2h 31m Minneapolis MSP 12:29 → SLC 14:19DL 2651 7h 34m 99% 90%
SouthwestDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:45WN 3111 1h 00m Denver DEN 07:45 → SLC 09:20WN 452 4h 15m 95% 90%
SouthwestDetails → OKC 05:00 → MDW 06:55WN 3121 3h 05m Chicago MDW 10:00 → SLC 12:25WN 2951 8h 25m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 1h 02m Denver DEN 08:00 → SLC 09:37UA 497 4h 32m 95% 87%
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 1h 14m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387 7h 21m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → OKC 05:04 → IAH 06:40UA 5453 · flown by SkyWest 3h 05m Houston IAH 09:45 → SLC 11:59UA 756 7h 55m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:00 → ATL 10:10DL 1158 1h 46m Atlanta ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663 7h 50m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → OKC 09:15 → DEN 10:01UA 1424 1h 39m Denver DEN 11:40 → SLC 13:13UA 1963 4h 58m 100% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → OKC 12:01 → IAH 13:37UA 6277 · flown by Mesa 48m Houston IAH 14:25 → SLC 16:40UA 6207 · flown by Mesa 5h 39m 73% 58%
SouthwestDetails → OKC 19:10 → DEN 20:05WN 1188 50m Denver DEN 20:55 → SLC 22:40WN 1737 4h 30m 60% 44%
SouthwestDetails → OKC 21:45 → PHX 22:00WN 3125 50m Phoenix PHX 22:50 → SLC 01:30 +1WN 849 4h 45m 53% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON