Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 4318 at 10:00, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 4318 Southwest Flight history →	OMA 10:00	DAL 11:50	7%	2%	0.6%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	OMA 06:15 → DEN 06:50WN 3127	1h 55m Denver	DEN 08:45 → DAL 11:40WN 1360	5h 25m	99%	90%
Southwest Details →	OMA 05:25 → MDW 06:50WN 4504	3h 10m Chicago	MDW 10:00 → DAL 12:15WN 1487	6h 50m	100%	86%
Southwest Details →	OMA 06:00 → LAS 06:50WN 2340	1h 00m Las Vegas	LAS 07:50 → DAL 12:40WN 1317	6h 40m	96%	86%
Southwest Details →	OMA 08:20 → MDW 09:45WN 4316	2h 35m Chicago	MDW 12:20 → DAL 14:35WN 2757	6h 15m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136	1h 33m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → DAL 11:24DL 1115	5h 59m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	OMA 07:01 → ATL 10:12DL 1157	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512	8h 02m	99%	83%
Southwest Details →	OMA 07:20 → PHX 08:05WN 4835	2h 50m Phoenix	PHX 10:55 → DAL 15:20WN 3255	8h 00m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	OMA 10:23 → ATL 13:38DL 2632	3h 06m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780	7h 31m	99%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	OMA 16:15 → BNA 18:00WN 3126	55m Nashville	BNA 18:55 → DAL 20:50WN 490	4h 35m	68%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON