Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 3129 at 17:25, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 3129 Southwest Flight history →	OMA 17:25	HOU 19:45	18%	6%	0.9%	73%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	OMA 05:25 → MDW 06:50WN 4504	3h 20m Chicago	MDW 10:10 → HOU 12:50WN 2783	7h 25m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → HOU 12:10DL 1195	6h 45m	99%	84%
Southwest Details →	OMA 06:15 → DEN 06:50WN 3127	3h 25m Denver	DEN 10:15 → HOU 13:55WN 1543	7h 40m	99%	83%
Southwest Details →	OMA 08:20 → MDW 09:45WN 4316	2h 05m Chicago	MDW 11:50 → HOU 14:25WN 709	6h 05m	100%	81%
Southwest Details →	OMA 06:00 → LAS 06:50WN 2340	55m Las Vegas	LAS 07:45 → HOU 12:55WN 981	6h 55m	90%	79%
American Details →	OMA 05:20 → DFW 07:20AA 2540	3h 31m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:51 → HOU 12:16AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	6h 56m	99%	79%
Southwest Details →	OMA 10:55 → MDW 12:20WN 1655	2h 40m Chicago	MDW 15:00 → HOU 17:35WN 1124	6h 40m	100%	78%
Delta Details →	OMA 10:23 → ATL 13:38DL 2632	1h 34m Atlanta	ATL 15:12 → HOU 16:22DL 2381	5h 59m	97%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	OMA 19:46 → DFW 21:44AA 2232	54m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 22:38 → HOU 23:56AA 5465 · flown by PSA	4h 10m	72%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON