tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: WN 2673 at 06:30 is the safest bet, 5% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 31%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2673 Southwest Flight history → ORF 06:30 MCO 08:30 5% 2% 12.8% 96%
F9 2287 Frontier Flight history → ORF 21:34 MCO 23:47 31% 13% 18.2% 73%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ORF 05:15 → ATL 06:54DL 2966 1h 31m Atlanta ATL 08:25 → MCO 09:56DL 1213 4h 41m 97% 76%
AmericanDetails → ORF 05:01 → CLT 06:19AA 3168 1h 09m Charlotte CLT 07:28 → MCO 09:13AA 2084 4h 12m 96% 74%
SouthwestDetails → ORF 06:00 → BWI 07:00WN 3183 1h 05m Baltimore BWI 08:05 → MCO 10:20WN 986 4h 20m 98% 74%
UnitedDetails → ORF 06:05 → IAD 07:07UA 1524 1h 38m Dulles IAD 08:45 → MCO 11:08UA 379 5h 03m 99% 74%
DeltaDetails → ORF 06:20 → ATL 08:10DL 1364 2h 15m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 5h 40m 99% 72%
UnitedDetails → ORF 06:00 → ORD 07:29UA 5690 · flown by SkyWest 1h 43m Chicago ORD 09:12 → MCO 13:13UA 1643 7h 13m 98% 71%
AmericanDetails → ORF 06:00 → DCA 06:59AA 5520 · flown by PSA 46m Washington DCA 07:45 → MCO 10:14AA 3273 4h 14m 87% 70%
DeltaDetails → ORF 06:05 → DTW 07:55DL 1079 2h 40m Detroit DTW 10:35 → MCO 13:08DL 1747 7h 03m 99% 70%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ORF 10:45 → IAD 11:48UA 2066 47m Dulles IAD 12:35 → MCO 14:58UA 2206 4h 13m 65% 44%
UnitedDetails → ORF 17:44 → EWR 19:42UA 3654 · flown by Republic 48m Newark EWR 20:30 → MCO 23:32UA 1190 5h 48m 60% 35%
JetBlueDetails → ORF 16:13 → SJU 19:35B6 929 55m San Juan SJU 20:30 → MCO 23:32B6 1334 7h 19m 54% 29%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON