Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 1142 at 10:35, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1142 JetBlue Flight history →	PBI 10:35	BDL 13:28	19%	7%	1.3%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	PBI 07:25 → BWI 09:50WN 3189	50m Baltimore	BWI 10:40 → BDL 12:00WN 427	4h 35m	96%	87%
Delta Details →	PBI 06:00 → ATL 07:46DL 1376	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 10:22 → BDL 12:45DL 1082	6h 45m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	PBI 09:00 → ATL 10:47DL 1106	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 13:56 → BDL 16:16DL 2739	7h 16m	100%	83%
American Details →	PBI 07:08 → PHL 09:52AA 2642	2h 59m Philadelphia	PHL 12:51 → BDL 14:11AA 6035 · flown by Piedmont	7h 03m	99%	82%
American Details →	PBI 08:03 → CLT 10:05AA 1853	1h 46m Charlotte	CLT 11:51 → BDL 13:50AA 1448	5h 47m	94%	80%
Delta Details →	PBI 10:00 → ATL 11:47DL 1266	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 15:34 → BDL 17:59DL 2735	7h 59m	100%	79%
American Details →	PBI 10:09 → CLT 12:07AA 2278	2h 23m Charlotte	CLT 14:30 → BDL 16:30AA 1443	6h 21m	97%	76%
Delta Details →	PBI 13:59 → ATL 15:54DL 1190	3h 02m Atlanta	ATL 18:56 → BDL 21:19DL 2504	7h 20m	98%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	PBI 12:50 → ATL 14:48DL 1527	46m Atlanta	ATL 15:34 → BDL 17:59DL 2735	5h 09m	74%	58%
Delta Details →	PBI 18:27 → ATL 20:34DL 1458	57m Atlanta	ATL 21:31 → BDL 23:54DL 1011	5h 27m	72%	55%
American Details →	PBI 16:05 → PHL 18:54AA 2280	50m Philadelphia	PHL 19:44 → BDL 21:22AA 6107 · flown by Piedmont	5h 17m	67%	36%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON