tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 85% chance of reaching Houston on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind West Palm Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PBI 06:00 → ATL 07:46DL 1376 55m Atlanta ATL 08:41 → HOU 09:45DL 1509 4h 45m 96% 85%
DeltaDetails → PBI 07:00 → ATL 08:50DL 1352 2h 15m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → HOU 12:10DL 1195 6h 10m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → PBI 10:00 → ATL 11:47DL 1266 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 15:12 → HOU 16:22DL 2381 7h 22m 100% 80%
AmericanDetails → PBI 07:04 → DFW 09:15AA 1220 1h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:51 → HOU 12:16AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest 6h 12m 98% 78%
SouthwestDetails → PBI 06:10 → MCO 07:10WN 3083 55m Orlando MCO 08:05 → HOU 09:35WN 2637 4h 25m 94% 74%
SouthwestDetails → PBI 07:25 → BWI 09:50WN 3189 3h 10m Baltimore BWI 13:00 → HOU 15:15WN 4254 8h 50m 100% 73%
DeltaDetails → PBI 16:55 → ATL 18:53DL 838 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 20:45 → HOU 21:51DL 2051 5h 56m 92% 69%
SouthwestDetails → PBI 11:30 → BNA 12:50WN 4599 1h 05m Nashville BNA 13:55 → HOU 15:55WN 533 5h 25m 86% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON