tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, UA 1752 at 17:05, with a 30% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 1752 United Flight history → PBI 17:05 IAH 18:59 30% 14% 5.6% 68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind West Palm Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PBI 06:00 → EWR 08:54UA 2158 1h 59m Newark EWR 10:53 → IAH 13:38UA 556 8h 38m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → PBI 06:00 → ATL 07:46DL 1376 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → IAH 11:14DL 1682 6h 14m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → PBI 07:00 → ATL 08:50DL 1352 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572 7h 33m 100% 82%
AmericanDetails → PBI 07:08 → PHL 09:52AA 2642 3h 10m Philadelphia PHL 13:02 → IAH 15:47AA 1925 9h 39m 99% 81%
AmericanDetails → PBI 08:03 → CLT 10:05AA 1853 2h 25m Charlotte CLT 12:30 → IAH 14:12AA 1919 7h 09m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → PBI 07:20 → LGA 10:10DL 2532 3h 40m New York LGA 13:50 → IAH 16:44DL 2930 10h 24m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → PBI 09:00 → ATL 10:47DL 1106 3h 59m Atlanta ATL 14:46 → IAH 15:56DL 2890 7h 56m 100% 79%
UnitedDetails → PBI 15:58 → ORD 18:32UA 312 3h 08m Chicago ORD 21:40 → IAH 00:34 +1UA 2665 9h 36m 95% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → PBI 16:05 → PHL 18:54AA 2280 1h 01m Philadelphia PHL 19:55 → IAH 22:49AA 3021 7h 44m 70% 55%
AmericanDetails → PBI 17:27 → CLT 19:31AA 2270 1h 14m Charlotte CLT 20:45 → IAH 22:27AA 1840 6h 00m 73% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON