Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 3083 at 06:10, with a 3% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 3083 Southwest Flight history →	PBI 06:10	MCO 07:10	3%	1%	1.1%	98%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PBI 06:00 → ATL 07:46DL 1376	1h 39m Atlanta	ATL 09:25 → MCO 10:57DL 1658	4h 57m	97%	72%
American Details →	PBI 05:43 → CLT 07:40AA 2848	2h 29m Charlotte	CLT 10:09 → MCO 11:57AA 2074	6h 14m	99%	72%
Delta Details →	PBI 07:00 → ATL 08:50DL 1352	1h 35m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664	5h 00m	98%	71%
United Details →	PBI 06:00 → EWR 08:54UA 2158	1h 07m Newark	EWR 10:01 → MCO 12:54UA 1739	6h 54m	97%	69%
Delta Details →	PBI 08:00 → ATL 09:49DL 1301	1h 36m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → MCO 13:00DL 1030	5h 00m	96%	68%
Delta Details →	PBI 07:20 → LGA 10:10DL 2532	1h 39m New York	LGA 11:49 → MCO 14:42DL 2564	7h 22m	97%	67%
JetBlue Details →	PBI 06:46 → JFK 09:35B6 854	1h 20m New York	JFK 10:55 → MCO 14:03B6 383	7h 17m	97%	67%
Southwest Details →	PBI 07:25 → BWI 09:50WN 3189	1h 45m Baltimore	BWI 11:35 → MCO 13:55WN 988	6h 30m	100%	67%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	PBI 17:05 → IAH 18:59UA 1752	51m Houston	IAH 19:50 → MCO 23:22UA 2323	6h 17m	58%	36%
American Details →	PBI 14:14 → DFW 16:28AA 2276	50m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:18 → MCO 21:10AA 2974	6h 56m	67%	35%
JetBlue Details →	PBI 13:13 → ISP 15:58B6 544	50m Islip	ISP 16:48 → MCO 19:44B6 847	6h 31m	51%	31%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON