tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 6094 American flown by Piedmont no forecast: 12-month record PHL 10:00 CAE 12:06 10% 3% 0.0% 90%
AA 6044 American flown by Piedmont no forecast: 12-month record PHL 15:30 CAE 17:36 23% 10% 1.4% 77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbia on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PHL 05:15 → ATL 07:19DL 1269 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → CAE 11:14DL 5091 · flown by Endeavor 6h 01m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → PHL 06:25 → ATL 08:28DL 1152 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 12:00 → CAE 12:59DL 2944 6h 34m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → PHL 06:00 → CLT 07:53AA 3139 1h 42m Charlotte CLT 09:35 → CAE 10:44AA 6042 · flown by Piedmont 4h 44m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → PHL 08:05 → ATL 10:11DL 1180 3h 54m Atlanta ATL 14:05 → CAE 15:06DL 3193 7h 01m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → PHL 08:58 → ORD 10:38AA 2095 2h 56m Chicago ORD 13:34 → CAE 16:43AA 4183 · flown by Envoy 7h 45m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → PHL 10:40 → ATL 12:49DL 1100 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 16:08 → CAE 17:13DL 2153 6h 33m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → PHL 12:02 → ATL 14:05DL 2270 3h 41m Atlanta ATL 17:46 → CAE 18:49DL 1516 6h 47m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → PHL 17:17 → ATL 19:29DL 1692 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 22:39 → CAE 23:43DL 3029 6h 26m 94% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → PHL 17:40 → ORD 19:26AA 1012 48m Chicago ORD 20:14 → CAE 23:19AA 4275 · flown by Envoy 5h 39m 66% 53%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON