tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
G4 2727 Allegiant Flight history → PIT 08:00 AUS 10:00 12% 4% 0.8% 85%
WN 2866 Southwest Flight history → PIT 16:35 AUS 18:40 21% 6% 0.5% 48%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Pittsburgh). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → PIT 06:30 → BNA 07:05WN 1935 55m Nashville BNA 08:00 → AUS 10:10WN 4149 4h 40m 97% 90%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:06 → IAD 07:18UA 3679 · flown by Republic 1h 12m Dulles IAD 08:30 → AUS 10:56UA 637 5h 50m 98% 89%
SouthwestDetails → PIT 05:45 → BWI 06:55WN 4417 1h 10m Baltimore BWI 08:05 → AUS 10:30WN 865 5h 45m 99% 88%
SouthwestDetails → PIT 06:05 → DAL 07:55WN 4465 1h 05m Dallas DAL 09:00 → AUS 10:00WN 4172 4h 55m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 2h 18m Atlanta ATL 09:43 → AUS 11:03DL 2886 6h 18m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:25 → EWR 08:58UA 3673 · flown by Republic 3h 22m Newark EWR 12:20 → AUS 15:16UA 1155 8h 51m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → PIT 08:36 → ORD 09:30UA 3461 · flown by Republic 2h 17m Chicago ORD 11:47 → AUS 14:41UA 1061 7h 05m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:00 → ORD 07:48UA 2218 1h 13m Chicago ORD 09:01 → AUS 11:59UA 1688 5h 59m 96% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → PIT 18:16 → ORD 19:05UA 1494 53m Chicago ORD 19:58 → AUS 22:54UA 312 5h 38m 71% 57%
SouthwestDetails → PIT 20:15 → STL 21:00WN 3387 55m St Louis STL 21:55 → AUS 23:55WN 4515 4h 40m 74% 52%
SouthwestDetails → PIT 20:15 → MDW 20:45WN 4073 50m Chicago MDW 21:35 → AUS 00:10 +1WN 775 4h 55m 64% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON