tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 9–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 591 Southwest Flight history → PIT 07:00 FLL 09:35 9% 2% 1.0% 94%
B6 2005 JetBlue Flight history → PIT 06:00 FLL 08:42 15% 5% 1.0% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → PIT 06:45 → STL 07:30WN 3386 2h 25m St Louis STL 09:55 → FLL 13:40WN 4938 6h 55m 100% 87%
SouthwestDetails → PIT 05:45 → BWI 06:55WN 4417 2h 55m Baltimore BWI 09:50 → FLL 12:20WN 4785 6h 35m 100% 84%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:06 → IAD 07:18UA 3679 · flown by Republic 1h 02m Dulles IAD 08:20 → FLL 11:07UA 1825 5h 01m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 38m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:15 → IAH 08:18UA 1859 1h 42m Houston IAH 10:00 → FLL 13:47UA 2234 7h 32m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:05 → ATL 08:50DL 1383 3h 41m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 7h 22m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:25 → EWR 08:58UA 3673 · flown by Republic 2h 39m Newark EWR 11:37 → FLL 14:42UA 677 7h 17m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:20 → JFK 09:00DL 5677 · flown by Republic 2h 14m New York JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305 7h 04m 97% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → PIT 17:05 → PHL 18:34AA 2312 46m Philadelphia PHL 19:20 → FLL 22:25AA 1864 5h 20m 65% 44%
DeltaDetails → PIT 17:04 → JFK 18:56DL 5085 · flown by Endeavor 1h 02m New York JFK 19:58 → FLL 23:28DL 1414 6h 24m 53% 33%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON