Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: WN 3393 at 07:00 is the safest bet, 3% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 17%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 3393 Southwest Flight history →	PNS 07:00	DAL 08:45	3%	1%	0.6%	92%
WN 3394 Southwest Flight history →	PNS 16:20	DAL 18:10	17%	5%	0.6%	58%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	PNS 07:50 → BNA 09:20WN 3391	3h 00m Nashville	BNA 12:20 → DAL 14:15WN 5046	6h 25m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	PNS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3019	2h 00m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → DAL 11:24DL 1115	5h 24m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	PNS 08:01 → ATL 10:15DL 3067	3h 44m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512	7h 02m	99%	83%
Southwest Details →	PNS 11:05 → BNA 12:35WN 3392	2h 50m Nashville	BNA 15:25 → DAL 17:20WN 489	6h 15m	99%	76%
Delta Details →	PNS 11:57 → ATL 14:14DL 3198	2h 30m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780	5h 57m	98%	75%
Southwest Details →	PNS 10:40 → MDW 12:55WN 2866	3h 25m Chicago	MDW 16:20 → DAL 18:35WN 2758	7h 55m	100%	74%
Delta Details →	PNS 16:18 → ATL 18:35DL 1013	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → DAL 22:25DL 1104	6h 07m	96%	74%
Southwest Details →	PNS 12:00 → HOU 13:30WN 3395	2h 30m Houston	HOU 16:00 → DAL 17:10WN 40	5h 10m	98%	73%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	PNS 17:05 → DEN 19:10WN 1514	1h 20m Denver	DEN 20:30 → DAL 23:30WN 1523	6h 25m	74%	51%
Southwest Details →	PNS 17:15 → AUS 19:20WN 279	50m Austin	AUS 20:10 → DAL 21:15WN 1255	4h 00m	75%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON