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Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 3395 at 12:00, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 3395 Southwest Flight history → PNS 12:00 HOU 13:30 15% 4% 1.3% 42%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

SouthwestDetails → PNS 07:00 → DAL 08:45WN 3393 1h 45m Dallas DAL 10:30 → HOU 11:45WN 23 4h 45m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → PNS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3019 2h 50m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → HOU 12:10DL 1195 6h 10m 98% 83%
SouthwestDetails → PNS 07:50 → BNA 09:20WN 3391 2h 20m Nashville BNA 11:40 → HOU 13:40WN 5055 5h 50m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → PNS 09:22 → ATL 11:35DL 3103 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 15:12 → HOU 16:22DL 2381 7h 00m 99% 80%
SouthwestDetails → PNS 10:40 → MDW 12:55WN 2866 2h 05m Chicago MDW 15:00 → HOU 17:35WN 1124 6h 55m 100% 78%
AmericanDetails → PNS 09:27 → DFW 11:40AA 3748 · flown by Envoy 2h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:21 → HOU 15:44AA 5002 · flown by SkyWest 6h 17m 99% 76%
SouthwestDetails → PNS 11:55 → STL 13:45WN 4979 3h 55m St Louis STL 17:40 → HOU 19:45WN 5065 7h 50m 100% 75%
DeltaDetails → PNS 16:18 → ATL 18:35DL 1013 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 20:45 → HOU 21:51DL 2051 5h 33m 96% 73%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → PNS 15:34 → DFW 17:48AA 2320 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:34 → HOU 19:53AA 3351 · flown by Envoy 4h 19m 72% 54%
SouthwestDetails → PNS 17:05 → DEN 19:10WN 1514 1h 15m Denver DEN 20:25 → HOU 23:55WN 2026 6h 50m 74% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON