Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 7 nonstops
Fri, Oct 9: AA 5419 at 06:00 is the safest bet, 8% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 14–31%.
Every nonstop on Fri, Oct 9
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| AA 5419 American flown by PSA Flight history → | PVD 06:00 | DCA 07:44 | 8% | 4% | 1.5% | 81% |
| WN 1426 Southwest Flight history → | PVD 08:30 | DCA 10:00 | 9% | 2% | 0.6% | 88% |
| AA 4679 American flown by Republic Flight history → | PVD 21:07 | DCA 22:52 | 14% | 5% | 1.1% | 65% |
| AA 5337 American flown by PSA Flight history → | PVD 12:00 | DCA 13:44 | 19% | 8% | 1.2% | 62% |
| AA 5334 American flown by PSA Flight history → | PVD 15:15 | DCA 16:59 | 23% | 8% | 1.4% | 63% |
| WN 3515 Southwest Flight history → | PVD 16:50 | DCA 18:25 | 25% | 8% | 0.6% | 34% |
| AA 343 American Flight history → | PVD 17:42 | DCA 19:15 | 31% | 9% | 0.8% | 44% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON