tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 2087 at 15:05, with a 42% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 2087 JetBlue Flight history → PVD 15:05 PBI 18:11 42% 15% 6.0% 80%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PVD 06:00 → ATL 08:35DL 1023 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 11:03 → PBI 12:54DL 1190 6h 54m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → PVD 06:15 → PHL 07:40AA 1008 1h 05m Philadelphia PHL 08:45 → PBI 11:33AA 2271 5h 18m 97% 80%
SouthwestDetails → PVD 05:55 → BWI 07:25WN 3401 50m Baltimore BWI 08:15 → PBI 10:50WN 1041 4h 55m 94% 79%
DeltaDetails → PVD 17:24 → ATL 20:14DL 2314 2h 45m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065 7h 27m 98% 76%
AmericanDetails → PVD 06:03 → CLT 08:15AA 1585 2h 49m Charlotte CLT 11:04 → PBI 12:58AA 2279 6h 55m 98% 75%
DeltaDetails → PVD 13:27 → ATL 16:04DL 2147 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → PBI 20:51DL 1058 7h 24m 99% 75%
DeltaDetails → PVD 08:41 → ATL 11:15DL 2840 2h 43m Atlanta ATL 13:58 → PBI 15:50DL 838 7h 09m 98% 74%
UnitedDetails → PVD 06:00 → ORD 08:00UA 5786 · flown by SkyWest 2h 50m Chicago ORD 10:50 → PBI 14:51UA 2342 8h 51m 96% 69%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON