tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 2224 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record RDM 07:28 SAN 09:50 18% 0% 3.8% 82%
AS 2415 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record RDM 13:05 SAN 15:25 23% 6% 1.4% 77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RDM 05:05 → SLC 07:48DL 4004 · flown by SkyWest 3h 22m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → SAN 12:08DL 1296 7h 03m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → RDM 06:13 → SEA 07:40DL 4036 · flown by SkyWest 2h 05m Seattle SEA 09:45 → SAN 12:39DL 2533 6h 26m 98% 77%
UnitedDetails → RDM 05:00 → DEN 08:28UA 1188 2h 47m Denver DEN 11:15 → SAN 12:41UA 1940 7h 41m 98% 75%
AlaskaDetails → RDM 05:25 → PDX 06:15AS 2043 · flown by Horizon 1h 17m Portland PDX 07:32 → SAN 10:05AS 577 4h 40m 98% 75%
AmericanDetails → RDM 05:30 → PHX 07:57AA 3773 · flown by Envoy 2h 33m Phoenix PHX 10:30 → SAN 11:47AA 2477 6h 17m 100% 73%
DeltaDetails → RDM 12:15 → SLC 15:04DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest 2h 06m Salt Lake City SLC 17:10 → SAN 18:06DL 1252 5h 51m 98% 73%
UnitedDetails → RDM 13:49 → SFO 15:32UA 2262 3h 28m San Francisco SFO 19:00 → SAN 20:53UA 1343 7h 04m 99% 71%
UnitedDetails → RDM 12:59 → DEN 16:27UA 2350 2h 53m Denver DEN 19:20 → SAN 20:46UA 540 7h 47m 96% 68%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON