Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 1603 at 11:59, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 1603 Delta Flight history →	RSW 11:59	CVG 14:22	13%	7%	4.9%	82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160	5h 50m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	RSW 07:00 → MSP 09:30DL 2219	3h 20m Minneapolis	MSP 12:50 → CVG 15:39DL 3113	8h 39m	99%	84%
American Details →	RSW 06:15 → ORD 08:33AA 803	3h 21m Chicago	ORD 11:54 → CVG 14:25AA 4720 · flown by Republic	8h 10m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 11:11 → CVG 12:34DL 3149	5h 49m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 13:48 → CVG 15:11DL 3169	7h 08m	99%	81%
United Details →	RSW 07:00 → ORD 09:23UA 1554	3h 36m Chicago	ORD 12:59 → CVG 15:30UA 4388 · flown by GoJet	8h 30m	100%	78%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008	5h 53m	98%	78%
Southwest Details →	RSW 06:15 → MCO 07:15WN 4872	1h 15m Orlando	MCO 08:30 → CVG 10:40WN 1249	4h 25m	100%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	RSW 16:39 → ORD 19:00UA 2832	50m Chicago	ORD 19:50 → CVG 22:26UA 5785 · flown by SkyWest	5h 47m	68%	46%
Delta Details →	RSW 17:49 → DTW 20:45DL 2559	50m Detroit	DTW 21:35 → CVG 22:53DL 5478 · flown by Endeavor	5h 04m	67%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON