tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 1552 at 10:33, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 1552 JetBlue Flight history → RSW 10:33 HPN 13:30 14% 6% 4.7% 90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385 2h 26m Atlanta ATL 09:45 → HPN 12:08DL 2044 6h 33m 97% 83%
AmericanDetails → RSW 06:22 → CLT 08:20AA 1097 2h 46m Charlotte CLT 11:06 → HPN 13:13AA 5180 · flown by PSA 6h 51m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → RSW 15:41 → ATL 17:34DL 1196 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616 6h 44m 95% 74%
DeltaDetails → RSW 07:00 → MSP 09:30DL 2219 3h 16m Minneapolis MSP 12:46 → HPN 16:30DL 4680 · flown by Endeavor 9h 30m 99% 74%
AmericanDetails → RSW 10:00 → CLT 12:01AA 2427 2h 48m Charlotte CLT 14:49 → HPN 16:56AA 5606 · flown by PSA 6h 56m 99% 73%
DeltaDetails → RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 12:00 → HPN 14:28DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor 7h 43m 99% 68%
DeltaDetails → RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089 3h 06m Atlanta ATL 15:33 → HPN 18:03DL 5013 · flown by Endeavor 7h 15m 98% 65%
AmericanDetails → RSW 17:26 → DCA 20:00AA 2454 2h 05m Washington DCA 22:05 → HPN 23:29AA 5289 · flown by PSA 6h 03m 85% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON