tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 06:15, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Jackson on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → SLC 09:21DL 1117 1h 49m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282 5h 00m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → SAN 09:46 → SLC 12:50DL 1177 3h 05m Salt Lake City SLC 15:55 → JAC 17:00DL 417 6h 14m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → SAN 06:35 → DEN 10:08UA 2368 3h 47m Denver DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537 7h 50m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → SAN 13:15 → SLC 16:18DL 1296 2h 12m Salt Lake City SLC 18:30 → JAC 19:37DL 4025 · flown by SkyWest 5h 22m 94% 83%
UnitedDetails → SAN 06:20 → LAX 07:21UA 1006 3h 07m Los Angeles LAX 10:28 → JAC 13:48UA 2110 6h 28m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → SAN 10:55 → DEN 14:27UA 1715 1h 53m Denver DEN 16:20 → JAC 17:53UA 2200 5h 58m 100% 81%
UnitedDetails → SAN 13:39 → SFO 15:19UA 1763 2h 51m San Francisco SFO 18:10 → JAC 21:30UA 1958 6h 51m 96% 78%
DeltaDetails → SAN 11:48 → MSP 17:40DL 2121 1h 10m Minneapolis MSP 18:50 → JAC 20:29DL 3925 · flown by SkyWest 7h 41m 91% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON