tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 2086 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SAN 10:05 RDM 12:25 34% 7% 2.9% 66%
AS 2223 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record SAN 19:48 RDM 22:09 63% 24% 1.9% 37%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 17:01 → SLC 19:59DL 1210 3h 08m Salt Lake City SLC 23:07 → RDM 23:58DL 3756 · flown by SkyWest 6h 57m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → SLC 09:21DL 1117 1h 24m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → RDM 11:35DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest 5h 20m 96% 89%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:20 → PHX 07:54AA 625 2h 34m Phoenix PHX 10:28 → RDM 13:07AA 3770 · flown by Envoy 6h 47m 98% 86%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 06:50 → PDX 09:29AS 399 1h 16m Portland PDX 10:45 → RDM 11:47AS 3073 · flown by SkyWest 4h 57m 96% 84%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 17:35 → SEA 20:35AS 417 2h 18m Seattle SEA 22:53 → RDM 23:59AS 2094 · flown by Horizon 6h 24m 96% 82%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 17:58 → PDX 20:31AS 1392 1h 24m Portland PDX 21:55 → RDM 22:45AS 2057 · flown by Horizon 4h 47m 90% 80%
UnitedDetails → SAN 06:35 → DEN 10:08UA 2368 1h 07m Denver DEN 11:15 → RDM 12:53UA 2082 6h 18m 94% 78%
AlaskaDetails → SAN 14:03 → PDX 16:36AS 1402 1h 44m Portland PDX 18:20 → RDM 19:09AS 2172 · flown by Horizon 5h 06m 96% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → SAN 11:04 → PDX 13:43AS 576 47m Portland PDX 14:30 → RDM 15:20AS 2173 · flown by Horizon 4h 16m 62% 58%
DeltaDetails → SAN 13:36 → SEA 16:32DL 2533 53m Seattle SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest 5h 07m 65% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON