tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 150 JetBlue Flight history → SAV 09:38 BOS 12:03 14% 7% 0.8% 77%
DL 5803 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → SAV 14:50 BOS 17:30 21% 10% 0.7% 73%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → SAV 05:00 → CLT 06:10AA 1172 2h 45m Charlotte CLT 08:55 → BOS 11:08AA 1533 6h 08m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098 1h 45m Atlanta ATL 08:30 → BOS 11:06DL 2432 5h 27m 96% 89%
AmericanDetails → SAV 09:21 → DCA 11:12AA 4618 · flown by Republic 1h 47m Washington DCA 12:59 → BOS 14:44AA 4380 · flown by Republic 5h 23m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702 2h 12m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855 6h 02m 97% 87%
AmericanDetails → SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA 2h 53m Charlotte CLT 11:18 → BOS 13:33AA 1611 6h 33m 98% 85%
SouthwestDetails → SAV 07:20 → BWI 09:00WN 1110 1h 40m Baltimore BWI 10:40 → BOS 12:10WN 887 4h 50m 95% 85%
DeltaDetails → SAV 08:09 → ATL 09:17DL 686 1h 53m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → BOS 13:47DL 862 5h 38m 96% 85%
UnitedDetails → SAV 06:15 → EWR 08:27UA 2828 3h 32m Newark EWR 11:59 → BOS 13:16UA 1669 7h 01m 99% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:00 → LGA 08:10DL 5457 · flown by Endeavor 50m New York LGA 09:00 → BOS 10:23DL 5785 · flown by Republic 4h 23m 68% 59%
AmericanDetails → SAV 19:31 → DCA 21:30AA 5387 · flown by PSA 46m Washington DCA 22:16 → BOS 23:59AA 2932 4h 28m 67% 55%
DeltaDetails → SAV 18:50 → LGA 21:10DL 5178 · flown by Endeavor 49m New York LGA 21:59 → BOS 23:31DL 2801 4h 41m 55% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON