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Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 3595 at 13:10, with a 21% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 3595 Southwest Flight history → SAV 13:10 DAL 14:35 21% 3% 0.6% 56%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

SouthwestDetails → SAV 06:45 → BNA 07:10WN 3592 55m Nashville BNA 08:05 → DAL 10:00WN 486 4h 15m 94% 87%
DeltaDetails → SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098 1h 30m Atlanta ATL 08:15 → DAL 09:21DL 441 4h 42m 95% 86%
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702 2h 22m Atlanta ATL 10:15 → DAL 11:24DL 1115 5h 41m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011 2h 50m Atlanta ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512 6h 00m 99% 83%
SouthwestDetails → SAV 10:55 → BWI 12:35WN 3594 1h 40m Baltimore BWI 14:15 → DAL 16:15WN 932 6h 20m 98% 78%
SouthwestDetails → SAV 13:15 → BNA 13:40WN 2076 1h 45m Nashville BNA 15:25 → DAL 17:20WN 489 5h 05m 100% 76%
DeltaDetails → SAV 11:37 → ATL 12:47DL 932 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780 7h 17m 99% 76%
DeltaDetails → SAV 17:05 → ATL 18:19DL 3014 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 21:15 → DAL 22:25DL 1104 6h 20m 97% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON