Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 10:03, is the safest bet: 82% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 72% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 2660 United Flight history →	SAV 16:15	DEN 18:17	20%	7%	0.6%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995	7h 26m	99%	86%
United Details →	SAV 08:00 → ORD 09:39UA 3632 · flown by Republic	3h 17m Chicago	ORD 12:56 → DEN 14:46UA 1150	8h 46m	100%	86%
United Details →	SAV 07:00 → IAH 08:31UA 6220 · flown by Mesa	2h 00m Houston	IAH 10:31 → DEN 12:07UA 1409	7h 07m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	SAV 08:09 → ATL 09:17DL 686	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957	7h 51m	100%	84%
United Details →	SAV 16:53 → ORD 18:30UA 291	3h 20m Chicago	ORD 21:50 → DEN 23:48UA 377	8h 55m	98%	83%
United Details →	SAV 09:50 → IAD 11:37UA 6366 · flown by Mesa	2h 58m Dulles	IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126	8h 39m	98%	83%
United Details →	SAV 06:15 → EWR 08:27UA 2828	1h 33m Newark	EWR 10:00 → DEN 12:18UA 2455	8h 03m	96%	82%
United Details →	SAV 12:05 → IAD 13:45UA 2057	2h 11m Dulles	IAD 15:56 → DEN 18:03UA 395	7h 58m	98%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	SAV 15:55 → MDW 17:10WN 3596	50m Chicago	MDW 18:00 → DEN 19:45WN 1497	5h 50m	72%	53%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON