Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 909 Delta Flight history →	SAV 11:37	DTW 13:45	13%	4%	0.7%	87%
DL 3651 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SAV 18:10	DTW 20:27	20%	9%	0.6%	68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	SAV 06:45 → BNA 07:10WN 3592	3h 00m Nashville	BNA 10:10 → DTW 12:45WN 507	6h 00m	100%	88%
United Details →	SAV 07:00 → IAH 08:31UA 6220 · flown by Mesa	1h 14m Houston	IAH 09:45 → DTW 13:42UA 4064 · flown by Mesa	6h 42m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702	3h 07m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240	6h 13m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098	1h 30m Atlanta	ATL 08:15 → DTW 10:10DL 2160	4h 31m	95%	84%
United Details →	SAV 09:50 → IAD 11:37UA 6366 · flown by Mesa	1h 18m Dulles	IAD 12:55 → DTW 14:34UA 3495 · flown by Republic	4h 44m	94%	83%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 13:47 → DTW 15:42DL 1031	5h 39m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	SAV 07:50 → JFK 10:02DL 5032 · flown by Endeavor	2h 57m New York	JFK 12:59 → DTW 15:00DL 2343	7h 10m	97%	82%
American Details →	SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA	2h 50m Charlotte	CLT 11:15 → DTW 13:01AA 1781	6h 01m	98%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	SAV 18:22 → MIA 19:55AA 3782 · flown by Envoy	50m Miami	MIA 20:45 → DTW 23:56AA 2649	5h 34m	50%	32%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON