tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2574 at 17:16, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2574 Delta Flight history → SAV 17:16 MSP 19:15 18% 6% 0.7% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → SAV 06:45 → BNA 07:10WN 3592 1h 00m Nashville BNA 08:10 → MSP 10:15WN 2160 4h 30m 96% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960 5h 39m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:31DL 2090 5h 48m 97% 87%
AmericanDetails → SAV 05:00 → CLT 06:10AA 1172 2h 15m Charlotte CLT 08:25 → MSP 10:04AA 2154 6h 04m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → SAV 09:50 → IAD 11:37UA 6366 · flown by Mesa 1h 43m Dulles IAD 13:20 → MSP 15:11UA 3576 · flown by Republic 6h 21m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → SAV 08:09 → ATL 09:17DL 686 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901 6h 41m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA 2h 50m Charlotte CLT 11:15 → MSP 12:54AA 2153 6h 54m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → SAV 16:15 → DEN 18:17UA 2660 2h 37m Denver DEN 20:54 → MSP 23:59UA 667 8h 44m 98% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON