tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 1094 at 17:25, with a 24% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1094 Southwest Flight history → SAV 17:25 STL 18:30 24% 4% 0.6% 73%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAV 05:39 → ATL 06:45DL 3098 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 09:04 → STL 09:43DL 1400 5h 04m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:43 → ATL 07:53DL 1702 3h 47m Atlanta ATL 11:40 → STL 12:17DL 566 6h 34m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → SAV 06:15 → EWR 08:27UA 2828 1h 26m Newark EWR 09:53 → STL 11:41UA 3630 · flown by Republic 6h 26m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 14:09 → STL 14:48DL 2700 5h 45m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → SAV 05:00 → CLT 06:10AA 1172 1h 27m Charlotte CLT 07:37 → STL 08:33AA 2733 4h 33m 92% 83%
DeltaDetails → SAV 11:37 → DTW 13:45DL 909 2h 55m Detroit DTW 16:40 → STL 17:19DL 2822 6h 42m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA 2h 35m Charlotte CLT 11:00 → STL 11:55AA 2717 5h 55m 96% 82%
DeltaDetails → SAV 19:07 → ATL 20:34DL 3112 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 23:10 → STL 23:53DL 1403 5h 46m 95% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → SAV 15:55 → MDW 17:10WN 3596 50m Chicago MDW 18:00 → STL 19:10WN 2904 4h 15m 72% 53%
AmericanDetails → SAV 19:24 → DFW 21:11AA 2509 1h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:12 → STL 00:04 +1AA 3049 5h 40m 72% 51%
AmericanDetails → SAV 18:22 → MIA 19:55AA 3782 · flown by Envoy 59m Miami MIA 20:54 → STL 22:54AA 1594 5h 32m 59% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON